Ian Hickson, editor of the HTML5 specification, expects the specification to reach the W3C Candidate Recommendation stage during 2012, and W3C Recommendation in the year 2022 or later.
The Barron’s article just basically says that Adobe won’t be tinkering with Flash CS5’s app exporter anymore. It will still come with the program though, like some kind of software ghost town. Undoubtably there will be some clueless people that are total unaware of conversations like this one and think this feature works, so Adobe really should just program in a digital ghost town to launch if you try to hit the export-to-app button. Your avatar could wander around town and meet up with other newbies that help you discover clues about why you’ve been sent there.
Anyway, if you do read more of the comments on Barron’s, you’ll see that Apple is NOT winning the hearts and minds of the people. And mind you, Barron’s isn’t a Flash enthusiast blog either. Here’s one of Apple’s responses…
This made me laugh, as the iPad and iPhone are two of the most closed computing environments ever. There is nothing you can use on them that hasn’t had the gate opened by Apple. Sure there’s thousands of free apps you can install on them, but each one has been approved by Apple (or disapproved initially and then eventually approved). And the non-free stuff, Apple wets its beak on to the tune of 30%. And as we all know the internet (via Safari) is only half there without Flash. So I wouldn’t call that an “open” experience.
And to call Flash “closed and proprietary” is crazy. There’s tons of software that creates swf files, which I’ve never heard Adobe fight against. And when those are put online, they aren’t closed. You don’t need to pay for them, they are free. What Apple has done though is make App development closed and proprietary by cutting off everyone that doesn’t use their stuff to make Apps ( which is a $99 fee too)
Anyway, I gotta call out Apple on this one. When the spokespeople start in on their spin, it makes me miss the frankness of Steve Jobs just saying “no” to whether his stuff will support Flash.